2025 Recession Forecast. Too little gdp growth — or an economy that shrinks — raises concerns about recession, but runaway growth isn't ideal, either. They forecast gdp growth to beat expectations at 2.5% in 2025, and for rate cuts to continue through q1 before the fed slows the pace toward the end of the cutting cycle.
The probability of a recession by the end of 2025 currently sits at 45%, according to the report. However, keep in mind that these predictions aren’t always accurate.